Portsmouth vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
EVE
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 1
OPA
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
DER
2 - 1
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
CAR
3 - 0
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
3 - 1
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |