Portsmouth vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BPO
1 - 1
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
QPR
0 - 2
OPA
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
OPA
3 - 3
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 1
OPA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OPA
2 - 0
TRA
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LEY
2 - 3
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SCU
2 - 2
CRA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |