Portsmouth vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CRY
0 - 1
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
OPA
0 - 1
ARS
14%
21%
64%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
OPA
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
OPA
3 - 2
WBA
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CHL
4 - 0
NOR
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
CHL
19%
22%
58%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CHL
4 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |