Portsmouth vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
DER
3 - 0
OPA
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
BPO
3 - 2
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
MID
3 - 2
OPA
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
OPA
1 - 2
WBA
62%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 0
STO
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
STO
1 - 1
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 3
MUD
34%
24%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
MAC
4 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
MID
4 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |