Portsmouth vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
PNE
2 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
OPA
1 - 1
SHE
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
TOT
1 - 1
OPA
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 1
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 2
OPA
47%
22%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
EVE
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
MUD
1 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 2
CAR
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
CAR
3 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |