Portsmouth vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 2
OPA
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
OPA
5 - 0
EVE
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 0
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
OPA
2 - 1
LEI
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
ARS
0 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1954 |
CAR
5 - 3
SHW
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
TOT
0 - 2
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
CHA
4 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
WOL
1 - 1
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |