Portsmouth vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
OPA
0 - 1
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WBA
5 - 1
OPA
52%
26%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
OPA
3 - 1
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
OPA
2 - 1
MID
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BBU
3 - 0
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEE
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PLY
0 - 5
BUR
21%
27%
52%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
0 - 0
SUN
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REA
1 - 3
BUR
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BBU
0 - 1
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |