Portsmouth vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
1 - 2
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 0
OPA
59%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
4 - 1
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
SUN
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
OPA
2 - 0
WOL
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
WBA
0 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
BUR
5 - 0
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |