Portsmouth vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
OPA
4 - 0
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
PNE
2 - 2
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
OPA
2 - 1
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
OPA
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 2
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
CHA
3 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
BUR
2 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
CHL
0 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 2
CHA
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |