Portsmouth vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1947 |
OPA
1 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
CHL
0 - 3
OPA
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
LEE
0 - 1
OPA
39%
23%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
SHE
3 - 1
OPA
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1947 |
MIL
1 - 1
BUR
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
WHU
0 - 5
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 1
BCF
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
LEI
1 - 4
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
FUL
1 - 0
BUR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |