Portsmouth vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
DER
3 - 0
OPA
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1953 |
NOT
2 - 2
BOL
46%
23%
32%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
NOT
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
MUD
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
4 - 0
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |