Portsmouth vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
5 - 4
ARS
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
EVE
4 - 2
OPA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 2
WBA
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 0
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
LEI
2 - 2
OPA
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
BPO
4 - 2
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 1
LUT
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 0
SHW
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
BOL
1 - 0
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |