Portsmouth vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 0
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
MUD
3 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPA
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
OPA
4 - 0
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |