Portsmouth vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
OPA
0 - 1
CHL
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 1
OPA
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
OPA
0 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
OPA
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
OXF
38%
27%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
2 - 4
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |