Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
NTT
5 - 0
OPA
54%
21%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 2
WHU
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
OPA
0 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
WHU
7 - 2
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |