Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 1
OPA
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
OPA
0 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPA
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
WBA
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
OPA
2 - 0
CHA
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1955 |
PNE
0 - 3
ASV
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
WOL
1 - 0
ASV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
CAR
0 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |