Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
SUN
0 - 0
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
OPA
3 - 3
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
TOT
5 - 1
OPA
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 4
WOL
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 0
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
ASV
4 - 2
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
SHW
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
BUR
2 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |