Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
MAC
1 - 0
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1947 |
OPA
1 - 1
BBU
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
BPO
1 - 0
OPA
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1947 |
OPA
0 - 0
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
ARS
0 - 0
OPA
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1947 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 0
ASV
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
CHL
4 - 2
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |