Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1947 |
SUN
0 - 0
OPA
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1947 |
HUR
1 - 2
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
OPA
2 - 1
EVE
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
OPA
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
BBU
0 - 1
OPA
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
ARS
0 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
53%
21%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |