Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
OPA
0 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 1
OPA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
OPA
0 - 1
WBA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
DER
2 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1931 |
OPA
0 - 3
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 2
WHU
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 6
ASV
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
7 - 0
GRI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |