Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 1
OPA
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 1
OPA
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
HUR
1 - 3
OPA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 1
BPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |