Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
SHW
4 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
5 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 5
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |