Portsmouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
EVE
4 - 2
OPA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 2
WBA
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 0
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
LEI
2 - 2
OPA
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
LEE
2 - 0
OPA
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHW
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
LEE
2 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
MAC
2 - 4
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
ARS
5 - 4
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |