Portsmouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 1
OPA
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 1
SHW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 2
PNE
60%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1956 |
BUR
3 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
BIR
4 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |