Portsmouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
BOL
4 - 0
OPA
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1956 |
MAC
4 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
OPA
4 - 4
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
OPA
2 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
1 - 3
OPA
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
ARS
0 - 1
TOT
66%
18%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 2
WOL
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
WOL
3 - 3
ARS
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |