Portsmouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
OPA
1 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 1
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1951 |
OPA
0 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
BPO
3 - 0
OPA
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 1
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
DER
4 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
MUD
3 - 1
ARS
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |