Portsmouth vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
OPA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
STA
3 - 3
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 0
BRO
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SWI
3 - 1
OPA
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MKD
1 - 0
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
STA
3 - 3
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 3
STA
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
DON
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 1
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |