Portonovo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
ANT
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
CUL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 1
POR
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 3
BOU
14%
22%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 0
CHO
73%
18%
9%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |