CA Porto vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
SAL
32%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
YPI
0 - 1
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
CEN
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |