CA Porto vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
YPI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |