CA Porto vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 4
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
PET
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |