CA Porto vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
CAB
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 4
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
PET
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 1
PET
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |