CA Porto vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
POR
5 - 2
YPI
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
POR
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
POR
27%
24%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 2
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
6 - 0
TDC
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 4
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |