CA Porto vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
PER
51%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
YPI
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
VCR
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AME
0 - 2
PES
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |