CA Porto vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 4
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
AME
86%
10%
3%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |