CA Porto vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
POR
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
POR
27%
24%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
SPO
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
ARA
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 1
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
ACA
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |