Capixaba Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Porto Vitória vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
DES
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
NVE
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
REA
31%
24%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |