Capixaba Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Porto Vitória vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
NVE
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
VFC
1 - 4
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 1
RIO
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
DES
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |