Porto II vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TON
3 - 1
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 2
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 2
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 3
BMA
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
ORI
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 0
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 1
SCP
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |