Porto II vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
BEL
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAM
5 - 5
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
SPC
71%
20%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 0
SCF
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
SPC
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |