Porto II vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
SPB
16%
23%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 3
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 3
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
BMA
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARO
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |