Porto II vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
TRO
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 3
POR
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
3 - 1
BEN
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |