Porto Alegre vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
VER
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
8 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
76%
17%
8%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ISM
0 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PEL
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ECS
5 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |