Porto Alegre vs Inter Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
VER
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ISM
0 - 3
PEL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
ISM
2 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
5 - 0
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
6 - 0
ISM
89%
9%
3%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ISM
0 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |