Porto Alegre vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
ISM
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
POR
5 - 2
YPI
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
90%
8%
2%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 2
YPI
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ISM
3 - 2
ECA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 4
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |