Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NER
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
PHU
40%
28%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RSL
1 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
DCU
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RSL
0 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RSL
2 - 0
RBN
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 3
RSL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
GAL
3 - 1
RSL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
SES
2 - 0
RSL
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |