Portland Timbers vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
RSL
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
MIN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RSL
1 - 3
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 2
NYC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
NER
2 - 2
NYC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NYC
2 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NYC
1 - 1
PHU
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
IMI
1 - 3
NYC
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |