Portland Timbers vs Austin FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RSL
1 - 3
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
SJE
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
VAN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 1
POR
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
AUS
3 - 1
KCW
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DAL
2 - 1
AUS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AUS
2 - 1
HOD
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
SJE
4 - 0
AUS
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 1
MIN
38%
24%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |