CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Portland Timbers vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
HOD
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
VAN
1 - 0
POR
25%
24%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
POR
5 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
POR
23%
22%
56%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SES
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 3
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |