Portland Timbers II vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 0
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 4
MIN
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
COR
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 2
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
VAN
80%
13%
6%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
TAC
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 0
LAF
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LAG
5 - 2
TAC
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |